EFI·Evidence Fusion Initiative

Fact or Fiction

Fact or Fiction

Ask any question, including odd ones. You get a percentage, a clear call of more or less than 50%, the working, and the sources that produced it. If nothing matches, the score stays at 50% — nothing is invented.

Likelihood

H013 UA93 was shot down rather than crashed solely by a passenger revolt

Equal to 50%

50%

Equal to 50% — the sources do not tip either way

0% — fully contradicted50%100% — fully supported

The score is 50%. Supporting and contradicting sources cancel, or there is not enough directional evidence to tip the number.

How 50% was calculated

Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is 0.02 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 69%. So 50% + 50% × 0.02 × 31% remaining certainty = 50%.

Supporting sources

11

Weighted strength 2.29

Contradicting sources

7

Weighted strength 2.20

No stance yet

33

Pulls the score toward 50% · 9.92

Uncertainty

69%

Share of the file that is unlabelled or missing

Working

start at 50% + half of (net source score × remaining certainty)

0.5 + 0.5 × 0.02 × (1 − 0.69) = 0.503

This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.

Reasoning

  1. Step 1 · Match the question

    Closest stored question: H013 — UA93 was shot down rather than crashed solely by a passenger revolt. Yes/no labels are taken from sources already linked to that question. Also close: H011, H014, H001.

  2. Step 2 · Find matching sources

    40 source(s) matched the wording. 8 further source(s) already linked to the stored question were included even if they did not contain the search words. 5 matching claim(s) contributed inherited stances.

  3. Step 3 · Assign support or contradiction without inventing

    8 labelled from stored question links, 13 from claims, 0 labelled automatically (capped, marked, not saved as human review), 30 left with no stance.

  4. Step 4 · Weight each source

    Each source contributes strength = (quality / 5) × confidence × how strongly it agrees or disagrees. Support strength 2.29, contradict strength 2.2, no-stance strength 9.92. A zero on chain of custody still lowers the mean and stays visible.

  5. Step 5 · Turn that into a percentage

    Start at 50%. Move up if support outweighs contradiction, down if the reverse. Unlabelled sources shrink the movement, so a thin file stays near 50%. Working: 0.5 + 0.5 × 0.02 × (1 − 0.69) = 0.503.

  6. Step 6 · What this number is not

    This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.

What is still missing

  • 10 source(s) score zero on at least one quality check (shown on each card). Those zeros are kept visible and are not averaged away.
  • 12 source(s) are unverified, inactive, or recorded as not retrieved. A missing file is a gap, not a finding against the question.
  • 33 relevant source(s) have no stance yet. They increase uncertainty and pull the percentage toward 50%; they are not counted as support or contradiction.
  • A second stored question (H011) also matches this wording. The percentage below is for H013 only — open the other question to compare. Do not average the two numbers.

Closest stored question

H013 · UA93 was shot down rather than crashed solely by a passenger revolt

day-of · match 46.3

Related questions

Same wording can map to more than one stored question. Each has its own percentage — do not average them.

Matching claims

  • disputedCLM-018

    UA93 was shot down by U.S. military rather than crashed by a passenger counterattack.

  • partially_supportedCLM-026

    NORAD/FAA war-games and false timelines indicate the air-defence failure was more than accident.

  • contradictedCLM-019

    The Pentagon was not struck by AA77.

  • disputedCLM-031

    The 9/11 Commission was not a truth-seeking body; the Report is a 'Zelikow Report' defined by systematic omissions.

  • verifiedCLM-037

    A large born-digital public archive of 11 September emails, stories, and images exists and was acquired by the Library of Congress in 2003.

Sources that support this

11

Sources that contradict this

7

Sources with no stance yet

33
EVD-146documentindeterminate

Stratesec / Marvin Bush board role at a firm with WTC security work

Composite tertiary web commentary (circular-sourcing demonstration) · 2005-01-01

A firm with some WTC security work had a Bush family board member years before 9/11.

Quality 1.25 / 5components retained
Prov2
Auth3
Ind2
Contemp0
Corr0
Spec2
Comp1
Chain0

unclassified · zeros: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.

Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody.

EVD-138documentindeterminate

Judy Wood: directed-energy destruction of the towers

Judy Wood — Where Did the Towers Go? (directed-energy claims) · 2010-01-01

An independent researcher published a directed-energy account of the tower destructions.

Quality 0.88 / 5components retained
Prov1
Auth1
Ind2
Contemp0
Corr0
Spec2
Comp1
Chain0

unclassified · zeros: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.

Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody.

Topics

Day-of events, engineering questions, process failures, and foreknowledge leads.

Developed by British researcher Moneypenny

@nic_moneypenny · Subscribe on X from $2 a month for other investigations, and to support this work.

Built with Grok by xAI. EFI / 911 is an independent research project. Neither Moneypenny nor xAI, X, or Grok accepts any liability for errors, omissions, or inaccuracies. Scores are not court or government findings. Privacy and terms.