Fact or Fiction
Fact or Fiction
Ask any question, including odd ones. You get a percentage, a clear call of more or less than 50%, the working, and the sources that produced it. If nothing matches, the score stays at 50% — nothing is invented.
Likelihood
ASCE/SEI Pentagon Building Performance Report (2003)
46%
Equal to 50% — the sources do not tip either way
The score is 46% — less than 50%. Contradicting sources currently outweigh supporting sources after quality and confidence are applied.
How 46% was calculated
Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is -0.21 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 57%. So 50% + 50% × -0.21 × 43% remaining certainty = 46%.
Supporting sources
13
Weighted strength 2.50
Contradicting sources
9
Weighted strength 3.82
No stance yet
25
Pulls the score toward 50% · 8.08
Uncertainty
57%
Share of the file that is unlabelled or missing
Working
start at 50% + half of (net source score × remaining certainty)
0.5 + 0.5 × -0.21 × (1 − 0.57) = 0.455
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
Reasoning
Step 1 · Match the question
Closest stored question: H014 — The Pentagon was not struck by AA77 (missile or other object). Yes/no labels are taken from sources already linked to that question.
Step 2 · Find matching sources
40 source(s) matched the wording. 14 further source(s) already linked to the stored question were included even if they did not contain the search words. 5 matching claim(s) contributed inherited stances.
Step 3 · Assign support or contradiction without inventing
14 labelled from stored question links, 11 from claims, 0 labelled automatically (capped, marked, not saved as human review), 22 left with no stance.
Step 4 · Weight each source
Each source contributes strength = (quality / 5) × confidence × how strongly it agrees or disagrees. Support strength 2.5, contradict strength 3.82, no-stance strength 8.08. A zero on chain of custody still lowers the mean and stays visible.
Step 5 · Turn that into a percentage
Start at 50%. Move up if support outweighs contradiction, down if the reverse. Unlabelled sources shrink the movement, so a thin file stays near 50%. Working: 0.5 + 0.5 × -0.21 × (1 − 0.57) = 0.455.
Step 6 · What this number is not
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
What is still missing
- 4 source(s) score zero on at least one quality check (shown on each card). Those zeros are kept visible and are not averaged away.
- 5 source(s) are unverified, inactive, or recorded as not retrieved. A missing file is a gap, not a finding against the question.
- 25 relevant source(s) have no stance yet. They increase uncertainty and pull the percentage toward 50%; they are not counted as support or contradiction.
Closest stored question
H014 · The Pentagon was not struck by AA77 (missile or other object)day-of · match 5.2
Matching claims
- disputedCLM-036
The Pentagon attack involved inside-the-building explosives before AA77's official impact.
- contradictedCLM-019
The Pentagon was not struck by AA77.
- well_supportedCLM-042
About three-quarters of CIA materials cited by the 9/11 Commission, including all KSM interrogation reports, remained withheld as of the 2012 File posting.
- disputedCLM-031
The 9/11 Commission was not a truth-seeking body; the Report is a 'Zelikow Report' defined by systematic omissions.
- disputedCLM-032
NIST NCSTAR reports on the WTC are false as engineering explanations.
Sources that support this
13Barbara Honegger — Evidence of explosives at the Pentagon (Toronto Report ch.13)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Honegger compiles Pentagon witnesses who used bomb/cordite language, cites stopped clocks around 9:31–9:32, and treats the FBI code name PENTTBOM as evidence of a bombing investigation.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): Honegger inside-explosives / no-757-compatible Pentagon chapter.
Hani Hanjour's limited high-performance flying record vs AA77's last turn
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
Instructors described Hanjour as a weak trainee; official account has him flying AA77's last manoeuvre.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): Hanjour skill-gap as a weak prior on a different pilot/remote control.
David Ray Griffin — Anomalies in official accounts of AA77 and UA93 (Toronto Report ch.7)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Griffin's 2012 chapter lists named process contradictions on AA77 notification and UA93 notification, plus Pentagon-object and UA93-shoot-down arguments with named witnesses and an FAA memo.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): Griffin ch.7 argues AA77 did not hit the Pentagon. In-cluster contradicts exist.
CIT / no-Boeing-at-Pentagon claim
Citizen Investigation Team / Pentagon no-Boeing claims · 2009-01-01
A set of independent researchers published a no-Boeing account of the Pentagon event, citing selected witnesses and façade photos.
hypothesis link · zeros: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): CIT no-Boeing claim — low quality, still a cited object.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody.
CIA 9/11 File posting — 100+ FOIA documents, 19 June 2012
The Central Intelligence Agency's 9/11 File (NSAEBB 381) · 2012-06-19
In 2012 the National Security Archive posted 100+ CIA documents cited in Commission footnotes, and stated that this was about one-quarter of the CIA material the Commission cited, with KSM interrogation reports still withheld.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-042.
9/11 Commission did not investigate WTC 7's collapse mechanism
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
The 9/11 Commission did not produce a collapse-mechanism finding for WTC 7.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-031.
Sources that contradict this
9ASCE Pentagon building performance: 757-class impact damage
ASCE/SEI Pentagon Building Performance Report (2003) · 2003-01-01
An engineering team mapped interior damage consistent with a large-aircraft mass trajectory through the Pentagon.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): ASCE interior aircraft-mass damage path.
Commission: AA77 struck the Pentagon at 09:37:46
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
The Commission states AA77 struck the Pentagon at 09:37:46.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): Commission AA77-into-Pentagon.
NTSB flight-path study: AA77 from Dulles to the Pentagon
NTSB flight-path studies, Air Traffic Control tapes, and CVR/FDR summaries (AA11, UA175, AA77, UA93) · 2002-02-19
NTSB reconstructed a continuous radar/path track of AA77 from takeoff to the Pentagon.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): NTSB continuous path.
Popular Mechanics 2005/2006: magazine investigation rejecting demolition, Pentagon-missile, and UA93 shoot-down claims
Popular Mechanics — 9/11: Debunking the Myths (March 2005) and Debunking 9/11 Myths (Hearst, 2006) · 2005-03-01
In 2005–2006 Popular Mechanics published a magazine investigation and a book arguing that the main demolition, missile, and shoot-down claims do not stand up to wreckage and engineering testimony.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): PM rejects Pentagon-missile / no-Boeing.
Legge & Stutt — AA77 FDR analysis supports official Pentagon flight path (Jan 2011)
Journal of 9/11 Studies · 2011-01-01
A 2011 Journal of 9/11 Studies FDR analysis concludes the official AA77 path to Pentagon impact is supported.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): In-cluster FDR paper supports official AA77 path.
NIST NCSTAR 1A: WTC 7 collapse initiated by fire-induced buckling of Column 79
NIST NCSTAR 1A — Final Report on the Collapse of World Trade Center Building 7 (2008) · 2008-11-20
NIST attributes WTC 7's collapse to fire-induced failure beginning at Column 79, with global collapse at 17:20.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-032.
John D. Wyndham — Problems with theories alternative to large-plane impact at the Pentagon (Nov 2011)
Journal of 9/11 Studies · 2011-11-01
The Journal of 9/11 Studies published a 2011 paper arguing that theories alternative to a large-plane Pentagon impact have problems.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): In-cluster journal paper against alternatives to large-plane impact.
NTSB path studies and ATC transcripts FOIA'd by NSArchive (Aug 2006)
NTSB flight-path studies and ATC transcripts released via NSArchive (NSAEBB 196) · 2006-08-11
In August 2006 NTSB released to the National Security Archive the four-flight ATC transcripts, three path studies, and the UA93 DFDR specialist report, after refusing to open its own public docket.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): NTSB AA77 path study is a principal official contradict of a non-757 Pentagon object.
Sources with no stance yet
25Piers Robinson — Preliminary evaluation of flight-simulator data, UA175 and AA77 (10 Sep 2025)
International Center for 9/11 Justice · 2025-09-10
Robinson presented a 2025 preliminary simulator evaluation of UA175 and AA77 control.
hypothesis link · zeros: contemporaneity · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): UA175/AA77 simulator title; body not read.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
Piers Robinson — Manual or Automated? Flight simulation of reported 9/11 aircraft manoeuvres (May 2026)
Piers Robinson, Manual or Automated? Flight simulation study of reported 9/11 aircraft manoeuvres (May 2026) · 2026-05-01
IC911 published a May 2026 Robinson report whose title frames reported 9/11 manoeuvres as a manual-vs-automated question.
hypothesis link · zeros: contemporaneity · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): Flight-sim title does not decide whether AA77 hit the Pentagon; it asks how manoeuvres were flown.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
Ted Walter — The 9/11 Hijacking Myth Exposed (presentation, 8 Sep 2024)
International Center for 9/11 Justice · 2024-09-08
Walter presented a 2024 IC911 talk arguing hijacker piloting of the reported manoeuvres is implausible.
hypothesis link · zeros: contemporaneity · human_seed link to H014 (seeded): Hijacking-myth framing is about piloting, not necessarily about a different object at the Pentagon.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
AA77 hijacked; Hazmi and Mihdhar aboard; Pentagon impact
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
The two men assisted in San Diego in 2000 were AA77 hijackers on 11 September 2001.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Arlington County After Action Report on 9/11 (Pentagon response) — 911DA pointer
September 11 Digital Archive (RRCHNM / ASHP) · 2002-01-01
The Digital Archive holds a copy of Arlington County's 9/11 After Action Report as a first-responder collection item.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
PNAC 2000: 'catastrophic and catalyzing event — like a new Pearl Harbor'
Project for a New American Century — Rebuilding America's Defenses (September 2000) · 2000-09-01
A 2000 PNAC report used a 'new Pearl Harbor' clause about the pace of military transformation.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
PDB 6 August 2001: Bin Ladin Determined To Strike in US
President's Daily Brief, 6 August 2001 — 'Bin Ladin Determined To Strike in US' · 2001-08-06
The President received a 6 August 2001 brief stating Bin Ladin was determined to strike in the United States, including hijacking-related patterns.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
U.S. State Department, 28 August 2006: public-diplomacy page on 'top' 9/11 conspiracy theories
U.S. Department of State — The Top September 11 Conspiracy Theories (28 August 2006) · 2006-08-28
On 28 August 2006 the U.S. State Department published an official webpage rejecting the main 9/11 conspiracy-theory claims then in circulation.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Topics
Day-of events, engineering questions, process failures, and foreknowledge leads.