Fact or Fiction
Fact or Fiction
Ask any question, including odd ones. You get a percentage, a clear call of more or less than 50%, the working, and the sources that produced it. If nothing matches, the score stays at 50% — nothing is invented.
Likelihood
John Farmer / 9/11 Commission staff statements on NORAD and FAA accounts
68%
More than 50% — supported by the sources
The score is 68% — more than 50%. Supporting sources currently outweigh contradicting sources after quality and confidence are applied.
How 68% was calculated
Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is 1.00 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 64%. So 50% + 50% × 1.00 × 36% remaining certainty = 68%.
Supporting sources
19
Weighted strength 4.75
Contradicting sources
0
Weighted strength 0.00
No stance yet
25
Pulls the score toward 50% · 8.13
Uncertainty
64%
Share of the file that is unlabelled or missing
Working
start at 50% + half of (net source score × remaining certainty)
0.5 + 0.5 × 1.00 × (1 − 0.64) = 0.680
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
Reasoning
Step 1 · Match the question
Closest stored question: H011 — NORAD/FAA response failure was more than accident (exercises, false timeline, or interference). Yes/no labels are taken from sources already linked to that question. Also close: H021, H015, H009.
Step 2 · Find matching sources
40 source(s) matched the wording. 8 further source(s) already linked to the stored question were included even if they did not contain the search words. 6 matching claim(s) contributed inherited stances.
Step 3 · Assign support or contradiction without inventing
8 labelled from stored question links, 12 from claims, 0 labelled automatically (capped, marked, not saved as human review), 24 left with no stance.
Step 4 · Weight each source
Each source contributes strength = (quality / 5) × confidence × how strongly it agrees or disagrees. Support strength 4.75, contradict strength 0, no-stance strength 8.13. A zero on chain of custody still lowers the mean and stays visible.
Step 5 · Turn that into a percentage
Start at 50%. Move up if support outweighs contradiction, down if the reverse. Unlabelled sources shrink the movement, so a thin file stays near 50%. Working: 0.5 + 0.5 × 1.00 × (1 − 0.64) = 0.680.
Step 6 · What this number is not
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
What is still missing
- 6 source(s) score zero on at least one quality check (shown on each card). Those zeros are kept visible and are not averaged away.
- 2 source(s) are unverified, inactive, or recorded as not retrieved. A missing file is a gap, not a finding against the question.
- 25 relevant source(s) have no stance yet. They increase uncertainty and pull the percentage toward 50%; they are not counted as support or contradiction.
- A second stored question (H021) also matches this wording. The percentage below is for H011 only — open the other question to compare. Do not average the two numbers.
Closest stored question
H011 · NORAD/FAA response failure was more than accident (exercises, false timeline, or interference)air_defence · match 14.3
Related questions
Same wording can map to more than one stored question. Each has its own percentage — do not average them.
Matching claims
- disputedCLM-031
The 9/11 Commission was not a truth-seeking body; the Report is a 'Zelikow Report' defined by systematic omissions.
- well_supportedCLM-042
About three-quarters of CIA materials cited by the 9/11 Commission, including all KSM interrogation reports, remained withheld as of the 2012 File posting.
- well_supportedCLM-009
The FBI withheld Bayoumi-related intelligence from the 9/11 Commission.
- partially_supportedCLM-026
NORAD/FAA war-games and false timelines indicate the air-defence failure was more than accident.
- disputedCLM-035
A small CIA Alec Station group intentionally withheld Mihdhar/Hazmi information from the FBI, and the purpose became to allow the attacks.
- verifiedCLM-007
U.S. agencies had actionable information on Mihdhar's U.S. visa in January 2000 and failed to watchlist him until August 2001.
Sources that support this
19John Farmer: NORAD and some FAA accounts of 11 September were not true
John Farmer / 9/11 Commission staff statements on NORAD and FAA accounts · 2004-07-22
Commission senior counsel stated that NORAD's (and some FAA) accounts were not true.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H011 (seeded): Commission counsel: NORAD/FAA accounts were not true.
David Ray Griffin — Anomalies in official accounts of AA77 and UA93 (Toronto Report ch.7)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Griffin's 2012 chapter lists named process contradictions on AA77 notification and UA93 notification, plus Pentagon-object and UA93-shoot-down arguments with named witnesses and an FAA memo.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H011 (seeded): FAA 22 May 2003 memo vs Commission 9:24 notification story.
David Ray Griffin — Anomalies in the 9/11 Commission Report (Toronto Report ch.2)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Griffin's 2012 chapter lists Commission process constraints (Zelikow, funding, access) and twelve claimed omissions, with footnotes to named books, newspapers, and the Report itself.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-031.
Kevin Ryan — Lies and Obstruction: Indefensible Air Defenses on 9/11 (8 Sep 2024)
International Center for 9/11 Justice · 2024-09-08
Ryan presented a 2024 talk arguing 9/11 air defences were 'indefensible' in a stronger sense than fog-of-war.
hypothesis link · zeros: contemporaneity · human_seed link to H011 (seeded): 2024 Ryan air-defence presentation; secondary to tapes.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
Commission / NORAD tapes: delayed notification and a phantom AA11
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
Military notification lagged FAA awareness; a phantom AA11 was injected into the response.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H011 (seeded): Phantom AA11 and delayed notification.
Vanity Fair 2006: NORAD tapes vs earlier public NORAD timeline
Michael Bronner, '9/11 Live: The NORAD Tapes,' Vanity Fair (August 2006) · 2006-08-01
Published tape reconstruction shows NORAD's early public timeline was inconsistent with its own audio.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H011 (seeded): Tapes contradict NORAD's first public timeline.
Sources that contradict this
0None in this calculation.
Sources with no stance yet
25Mineta: Cheney asked if 'the orders still stand' as an aircraft approached
Norman Mineta testimony, 9/11 Commission hearing, 23 May 2003 · 2003-05-23
Norman Mineta testified that Cheney confirmed standing orders while being updated on an inbound aircraft's decreasing range.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H011 (seeded): Mineta/Cheney orders — content of the orders unspecified.
Able Danger: Shaffer/Weldon say Atta's Brooklyn cell was identified before 9/11
Able Danger hearings and Lt. Col. Anthony Shaffer / Rep. Curt Weldon statements (2005) · 2005-09-21
Able Danger officers testified they had identified Atta before 9/11 and were blocked from notifying the FBI. Commission staff found the claim unsupported.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Wikipedia, 9/11 conspiracy theories — article as finding aid (retrieved 3 Sep 2026)
Wikipedia — 9/11 conspiracy theories (encyclopedia article) · 2026-09-03
On 3 September 2026 the Wikipedia article listed the main 9/11 conspiracy-theory families and pointed at Commission, NIST, State Department, Eagar, and Popular Mechanics as external sources.
unclassified · zeros: contemporaneity · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
September 11th Sourcebooks index (NSArchive volumes I–VII and updates)
National Security Archive — September 11th Sourcebooks · 2026-09-03
The National Security Archive organised a September 11th Sourcebook series of at least seven volumes plus later FOIA postings on Clarke, FAA, and NTSB transcripts.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Commission staff: Able Danger Atta identification not substantiated
9/11 Commission Report · 2005-08-12
Commission staff published that they could not substantiate a pre-9/11 Able Danger identification of Atta.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
KSM: operatives told to pose as students and seek mosque help
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
The Commission records a KSM claim that the two were instructed to seek mosque assistance and that AQ had no California agents.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Bin Don vs Bayoumi on whether they visited King Fahd Mosque on 1 February
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
Bayoumi and Bin Don gave inconsistent accounts of a mosque visit on the day of the restaurant meeting.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
CIA IG August 2001: CTC practices reviewed positively — vs later OIG/Commission
The Central Intelligence Agency's 9/11 File (NSAEBB 381) · 2001-08-01
NSArchive records that a CIA Inspector General review completed in August 2001 praised CTC information-management and FBI cooperation, in contrast to the 2004 CIA OIG and the Commission.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Topics
Day-of events, engineering questions, process failures, and foreknowledge leads.