Fact or Fiction
Fact or Fiction
Ask any question, including odd ones. You get a percentage, a clear call of more or less than 50%, the working, and the sources that produced it. If nothing matches, the score stays at 50% — nothing is invented.
Likelihood
Norman Mineta testimony, 9/11 Commission hearing, 23 May 2003
59%
More than 50% — weakly supported by the sources
The score is 59% — more than 50%. Supporting sources currently outweigh contradicting sources after quality and confidence are applied.
How 59% was calculated
Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is 1.00 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 83%. So 50% + 50% × 1.00 × 17% remaining certainty = 59%.
Supporting sources
11
Weighted strength 2.17
Contradicting sources
0
Weighted strength 0.00
No stance yet
32
Pulls the score toward 50% · 10.29
Uncertainty
83%
Share of the file that is unlabelled or missing
Working
start at 50% + half of (net source score × remaining certainty)
0.5 + 0.5 × 1.00 × (1 − 0.83) = 0.585
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
Reasoning
Step 1 · Match the question
Closest stored question: H021 — The 9/11 Commission was structurally prevented from being a truth-seeking enquiry. Yes/no labels are taken from sources already linked to that question. Also close: H009, H015.
Step 2 · Find matching sources
40 source(s) matched the wording. 7 further source(s) already linked to the stored question were included even if they did not contain the search words. 3 matching claim(s) contributed inherited stances.
Step 3 · Assign support or contradiction without inventing
7 labelled from stored question links, 6 from claims, 0 labelled automatically (capped, marked, not saved as human review), 30 left with no stance.
Step 4 · Weight each source
Each source contributes strength = (quality / 5) × confidence × how strongly it agrees or disagrees. Support strength 2.17, contradict strength 0, no-stance strength 10.29. A zero on chain of custody still lowers the mean and stays visible.
Step 5 · Turn that into a percentage
Start at 50%. Move up if support outweighs contradiction, down if the reverse. Unlabelled sources shrink the movement, so a thin file stays near 50%. Working: 0.5 + 0.5 × 1.00 × (1 − 0.83) = 0.585.
Step 6 · What this number is not
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
What is still missing
- 6 source(s) score zero on at least one quality check (shown on each card). Those zeros are kept visible and are not averaged away.
- 2 source(s) are unverified, inactive, or recorded as not retrieved. A missing file is a gap, not a finding against the question.
- 32 relevant source(s) have no stance yet. They increase uncertainty and pull the percentage toward 50%; they are not counted as support or contradiction.
- A second stored question (H009) also matches this wording. The percentage below is for H021 only — open the other question to compare. Do not average the two numbers.
Closest stored question
H021 · The 9/11 Commission was structurally prevented from being a truth-seeking enquiryprocess · match 11
Related questions
Same wording can map to more than one stored question. Each has its own percentage — do not average them.
Matching claims
- disputedCLM-031
The 9/11 Commission was not a truth-seeking body; the Report is a 'Zelikow Report' defined by systematic omissions.
- well_supportedCLM-009
The FBI withheld Bayoumi-related intelligence from the 9/11 Commission.
- well_supportedCLM-042
About three-quarters of CIA materials cited by the 9/11 Commission, including all KSM interrogation reports, remained withheld as of the 2012 File posting.
Sources that support this
11Mineta: Cheney asked if 'the orders still stand' as an aircraft approached
Norman Mineta testimony, 9/11 Commission hearing, 23 May 2003 · 2003-05-23
Norman Mineta testified that Cheney confirmed standing orders while being updated on an inbound aircraft's decreasing range.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-031.
David Ray Griffin — Anomalies in the 9/11 Commission Report (Toronto Report ch.2)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Griffin's 2012 chapter lists Commission process constraints (Zelikow, funding, access) and twelve claimed omissions, with footnotes to named books, newspapers, and the Report itself.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H021 (seeded): Griffin's process-and-omissions brief.
Lorie Van Auken and Bob McIlvaine — Toronto Report ch.1 family testimony
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Two 9/11 family members testified in 2011 about their dead, the Jersey Girls' campaign for a full investigation, three NORAD public timelines, and Van Auken's contemporaneous unease at the Florida classroom footage.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H021 (seeded): Family campaign documents demand for a fuller enquiry; not itself a Commission-failure finding.
Peter Dale Scott — 9/11 Commission deception, Cheney's actions, why he should testify under oath (Feb 2007)
Journal of 9/11 Studies · 2007-02-01
Scott published a 2007 process paper on Commission deception and Cheney's 9/11 actions, later expanded as Toronto ch.5.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H021 (seeded): Scott 2007 Commission-deception / Cheney paper.
Peter Dale Scott — 9/11 as a deep event: CIA personnel helped allow it (Toronto Report ch.5)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Scott's 2012 chapter restates a documented CIA-to-FBI withholding pattern around Mihdhar and Hazmi (Malaysia 2000, visa, watchlisting) attributed to a small Alec Station group, and adds a Saudi-GID liaison hypothesis plus an 'allowed to proceed' inference.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H021 (seeded): Fenton/Scott: post-9/11 investigations continued the withholding pattern.
CIA 9/11 File posting — 100+ FOIA documents, 19 June 2012
The Central Intelligence Agency's 9/11 File (NSAEBB 381) · 2012-06-19
In 2012 the National Security Archive posted 100+ CIA documents cited in Commission footnotes, and stated that this was about one-quarter of the CIA material the Commission cited, with KSM interrogation reports still withheld.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-042.
Commission leadership: FBI said it wasn't withholding anything
ProPublica / New York Times reporting on declassified FBI files (2023–2024) · 2023-04-27
The Commission chair states the FBI represented that nothing was being withheld.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-009.
9/11 Commission did not investigate WTC 7's collapse mechanism
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
The 9/11 Commission did not produce a collapse-mechanism finding for WTC 7.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-031.
Sources that contradict this
0None in this calculation.
Sources with no stance yet
32Robinson & Ryan — 9/11 and COVID-19 as structural deep events (Sep 2024)
Journal of 9/11 Studies · 2024-09-01
In 2024 IC911's journal published a paper treating 9/11 and COVID-19 as comparable structural deep events.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H021 (seeded): COVID comparison is out of scope for 2001 mechanics.
IC911 who-we-are mission (research, preserve, public action)
International Center for 9/11 Justice · 2026-09-02
IC911 describes itself as preserving data, doing new research, and campaigning for a new investigation.
hypothesis link · zeros: contemporaneity · human_seed link to H021 (seeded): Mission statement.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
David Ray Griffin — Anomalies in official accounts of AA77 and UA93 (Toronto Report ch.7)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
Griffin's 2012 chapter lists named process contradictions on AA77 notification and UA93 notification, plus Pentagon-object and UA93-shoot-down arguments with named witnesses and an FAA memo.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Vanity Fair 2006: NORAD tapes vs earlier public NORAD timeline
Michael Bronner, '9/11 Live: The NORAD Tapes,' Vanity Fair (August 2006) · 2006-08-01
Published tape reconstruction shows NORAD's early public timeline was inconsistent with its own audio.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
John Farmer: NORAD and some FAA accounts of 11 September were not true
John Farmer / 9/11 Commission staff statements on NORAD and FAA accounts · 2004-07-22
Commission senior counsel stated that NORAD's (and some FAA) accounts were not true.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Paul Zarembka — Insider trading before 9/11 re-examined (Toronto Report ch.6)
The 9/11 Toronto Report (2012), International Hearings on the Events of September 11, 2001 · 2012-09-11
A 2012 hearing paper surveys three academic option-market studies and argues the combined pre-attack activity is not plausibly random, while treating UAL/AMR themselves as weak because of hedging.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Able Danger: Shaffer/Weldon say Atta's Brooklyn cell was identified before 9/11
Able Danger hearings and Lt. Col. Anthony Shaffer / Rep. Curt Weldon statements (2005) · 2005-09-21
Able Danger officers testified they had identified Atta before 9/11 and were blocked from notifying the FBI. Commission staff found the claim unsupported.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Piers Robinson — Researching 9/11 and Beyond: Current Knowledge and Future Directions (Aug 2024)
Journal of 9/11 Studies · 2024-08-01
Robinson's 2024 survey cites Harrit 2009, Hulsey 2020, MacQueen eyewitness counts, NIST NCSTAR, the Commission, Ashton v KSA, and a 2023 Klarenberg claim of a CIA-Saudi recruiting operation involving two hijackers. He states official investigations are flawed and demolition of WTC 1/2/7 is most likely.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Topics
Day-of events, engineering questions, process failures, and foreknowledge leads.