Fact or Fiction
Fact or Fiction
Ask any question, including odd ones. You get a percentage, a clear call of more or less than 50%, the working, and the sources that produced it. If nothing matches, the score stays at 50% — nothing is invented.
Likelihood
H019 Published hijacker identities are substantially wrong (some named men were not aboard)
48%
Equal to 50% — the sources do not tip either way
The score is 48% — less than 50%. Contradicting sources currently outweigh supporting sources after quality and confidence are applied.
How 48% was calculated
Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is -0.27 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 88%. So 50% + 50% × -0.27 × 12% remaining certainty = 48%.
Supporting sources
4
Weighted strength 0.60
Contradicting sources
4
Weighted strength 1.04
No stance yet
39
Pulls the score toward 50% · 12.14
Uncertainty
88%
Share of the file that is unlabelled or missing
Working
start at 50% + half of (net source score × remaining certainty)
0.5 + 0.5 × -0.27 × (1 − 0.88) = 0.484
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
Reasoning
Step 1 · Match the question
Closest stored question: H019 — Published hijacker identities are substantially wrong (some named men were not aboard). Yes/no labels are taken from sources already linked to that question. Also close: H011, H016, H014.
Step 2 · Find matching sources
40 source(s) matched the wording. 4 further source(s) already linked to the stored question were included even if they did not contain the search words. 3 matching claim(s) contributed inherited stances.
Step 3 · Assign support or contradiction without inventing
4 labelled from stored question links, 6 from claims, 0 labelled automatically (capped, marked, not saved as human review), 37 left with no stance.
Step 4 · Weight each source
Each source contributes strength = (quality / 5) × confidence × how strongly it agrees or disagrees. Support strength 0.6, contradict strength 1.04, no-stance strength 12.14. A zero on chain of custody still lowers the mean and stays visible.
Step 5 · Turn that into a percentage
Start at 50%. Move up if support outweighs contradiction, down if the reverse. Unlabelled sources shrink the movement, so a thin file stays near 50%. Working: 0.5 + 0.5 × -0.27 × (1 − 0.88) = 0.484.
Step 6 · What this number is not
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
What is still missing
- 9 source(s) score zero on at least one quality check (shown on each card). Those zeros are kept visible and are not averaged away.
- 6 source(s) are unverified, inactive, or recorded as not retrieved. A missing file is a gap, not a finding against the question.
- 39 relevant source(s) have no stance yet. They increase uncertainty and pull the percentage toward 50%; they are not counted as support or contradiction.
- A second stored question (H011) also matches this wording. The percentage below is for H019 only — open the other question to compare. Do not average the two numbers.
Closest stored question
H019 · Published hijacker identities are substantially wrong (some named men were not aboard)perpetrators · match 47.4
Related questions
Same wording can map to more than one stored question. Each has its own percentage — do not average them.
Matching claims
- contradictedCLM-025
Some of the named 19 hijackers were not aboard the aircraft / were still alive.
- unverifiedCLM-034
Reported 9/11 aircraft manoeuvres were not flyable manually by the named hijacker-pilots (automation/remote guidance).
- unsupportedCLM-023
The twin towers were destroyed by directed energy, not by impact, fire, or conventional explosives.
Sources that support this
4BBC 23 September 2001: some named hijackers reported still alive
BBC News, 23 September 2001 — reports that some named hijackers were still alive · 2001-09-23
Reputable outlets reported in September 2001 that some named hijackers were alive.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H019 (seeded): BBC still-alive reports in week one.
Ted Walter — The 9/11 Hijacking Myth Exposed (presentation, 8 Sep 2024)
International Center for 9/11 Justice · 2024-09-08
Walter presented a 2024 IC911 talk arguing hijacker piloting of the reported manoeuvres is implausible.
claim stance · zeros: contemporaneity · Inherited from matching claim CLM-034.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
Judy Wood: directed-energy destruction of the towers
Judy Wood — Where Did the Towers Go? (directed-energy claims) · 2010-01-01
An independent researcher published a directed-energy account of the tower destructions.
claim stance · zeros: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody · Inherited from matching claim CLM-023.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody.
Hani Hanjour's limited high-performance flying record vs AA77's last turn
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
Instructors described Hanjour as a weak trainee; official account has him flying AA77's last manoeuvre.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-034.
Sources that contradict this
4Commission: hijacker-still-alive reports were mistaken identity
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
The Commission treats early 'hijackers alive' stories as identification errors.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H019 (seeded): Commission: mistaken identity.
Commission: AA11 struck WTC1 at 08:46:40
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
A large aircraft identified as AA11 struck WTC 1 at 08:46:40 on 11 September 2001.
hypothesis link · human_seed link to H019 (seeded): AA11 as a real flight with named hijacker-pilot Atta is multiply sourced.
NTSB flight-path study: AA77 from Dulles to the Pentagon
NTSB flight-path studies, Air Traffic Control tapes, and CVR/FDR summaries (AA11, UA175, AA77, UA93) · 2002-02-19
NTSB reconstructed a continuous radar/path track of AA77 from takeoff to the Pentagon.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-034.
Legge & Stutt — AA77 FDR analysis supports official Pentagon flight path (Jan 2011)
Journal of 9/11 Studies · 2011-01-01
A 2011 Journal of 9/11 Studies FDR analysis concludes the official AA77 path to Pentagon impact is supported.
claim stance · Inherited from matching claim CLM-034.
Sources with no stance yet
39Natalie Schilling — Linguistic analysis of AA11 transmissions purported to be Mohamed Atta (Apr 2026)
Natalie Schilling, Linguistic Analysis of AA11 transmissions purported to be Mohamed Atta (April 2026) and addendum (August 2026) · 2026-04-01
A 2026 linguistic report on AA11 audio attributed to Atta was published under IC911 Reports, authored by Natalie Schilling, Ph.D.
hypothesis link · zeros: contemporaneity · human_seed link to H019 (seeded): Linguistic report title does not state whether the speaker is Atta.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
Piers Robinson — Manual or Automated? Flight simulation of reported 9/11 aircraft manoeuvres (May 2026)
Piers Robinson, Manual or Automated? Flight simulation study of reported 9/11 aircraft manoeuvres (May 2026) · 2026-05-01
IC911 published a May 2026 Robinson report whose title frames reported 9/11 manoeuvres as a manual-vs-automated question.
claim stance · zeros: contemporaneity · Inherited from matching claim CLM-034.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
AA77 hijacked; Hazmi and Mihdhar aboard; Pentagon impact
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
The two men assisted in San Diego in 2000 were AA77 hijackers on 11 September 2001.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Wikipedia sub-articles: WTC demolition theories, advance knowledge, 9/11 truth movement
Wikipedia — 9/11 conspiracy theories (encyclopedia article) · 2026-09-03
Wikipedia's demolition, advance-knowledge, and truth-movement pages repeat named sources already on this board; they did not add a new primary measurement.
unclassified · zeros: contemporaneity · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity.
Judge Daniels 2024: not 'just an innocent participant'
In re Terrorist Attacks on September 11, 2001 (S.D.N.Y.) · 2024-08-01
A U.S. district judge in 2024 drew a reasonable-inference finding that Bayoumi's housing help was tasked by the Saudi government.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
John Farmer: NORAD and some FAA accounts of 11 September were not true
John Farmer / 9/11 Commission staff statements on NORAD and FAA accounts · 2004-07-22
Commission senior counsel stated that NORAD's (and some FAA) accounts were not true.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Joint Inquiry discussion of Osama Bassnan and alleged Saudi payments
Joint Inquiry into Intelligence Community Activities Before and After 9/11 (including Part Four, declassified 2016) · 2016-07-15
A congressional inquiry recorded alleged Bassnan–Saudi official financial ties in the same city as the hijackers.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Piers Robinson — Researching 9/11 and Beyond: Current Knowledge and Future Directions (Aug 2024)
Journal of 9/11 Studies · 2024-08-01
Robinson's 2024 survey cites Harrit 2009, Hulsey 2020, MacQueen eyewitness counts, NIST NCSTAR, the Commission, Ashton v KSA, and a 2023 Klarenberg claim of a CIA-Saudi recruiting operation involving two hijackers. He states official investigations are flawed and demolition of WTC 1/2/7 is most likely.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Topics
Day-of events, engineering questions, process failures, and foreknowledge leads.