EFI·Evidence Fusion Initiative

H019

Published hijacker identities are substantially wrong (some named men were not aboard)

BBC 2001 still-alive reports and later identity literature. Official account: mistaken/stolen names. Flight, visa, and Hamburg files are the principal contradicts for a global version of the claim.

openPhase 2

Likelihood — more or less than 50%

Less than 50%

29%

Less than 50% — contradicted by the sources

0% — fully contradicted50%100% — fully supported

Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is -0.56 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 26%. So 50% + 50% × -0.56 × 74% remaining certainty = 29%.

0.5 + 0.5 × -0.56 × (1 − 0.26) = 0.293

Recalculate with sources

Adversarial challenge

  • Contradicting objects: 2
  • Supporting objects: 1
  • Distinct source classes: 3
  • Objects with a zero quality dimension: 1

Version history

  1. v1 · 2004-07-22 · conf 0.12 · unc 0.35

    Week-one identity errors were real; a global fake-19 claim is contradicted by flight and visa files.

supports1

indeterminate1

weakly contradicts1

contradicts1

Human review can dispute any AI or seeded link. Seeded links are labelled and are not silent overwrites.

Open review queue

Developed by British researcher Moneypenny

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