H016
Urban Moving Systems detainees had organisational advance knowledge of the attacks
Five men were detained after filming/celebration reports. Advance knowledge as an intelligence team is the hypothesis, not the detention itself.
Likelihood — more or less than 50%
64%
More than 50% — weakly supported by the sources
Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is 1.00 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 73%. So 50% + 50% × 1.00 × 27% remaining certainty = 64%.
0.5 + 0.5 × 1.00 × (1 − 0.73) = 0.635
Recalculate with sourcesAdversarial challenge
- Contradicting objects: 0
- Supporting objects: 1
- Distinct source classes: 2
- Objects with a zero quality dimension: 0
Version history
v1 · 2001-09-11 · conf 0.22 · unc 0.55
Detention and filming documented; organisational advance knowledge not established.
weakly supports1
Urban Moving Systems five employees detained after being reported celebrating / filming
FBI files on Urban Moving Systems and five Israeli nationals detained 11 September 2001 · 2001-09-11
Five Urban Moving Systems employees were detained after witness reports they filmed and appeared to celebrate the attacks; they were later deported without terrorism charges.
human_seed · seeded · Detention after filming/celebration reports.
neutral1
PNAC 2000: 'catastrophic and catalyzing event — like a new Pearl Harbor'
Project for a New American Century — Rebuilding America's Defenses (September 2000) · 2000-09-01
A 2000 PNAC report used a 'new Pearl Harbor' clause about the pace of military transformation.
human_seed · seeded · PNAC sentence is not about Urban Moving.
Human review can dispute any AI or seeded link. Seeded links are labelled and are not silent overwrites.
Open review queue