Fact or Fiction
Fact or Fiction
Ask any question, including odd ones. You get a percentage, a clear call of more or less than 50%, the working, and the sources that produced it. If nothing matches, the score stays at 50% — nothing is invented.
Likelihood
Composite tertiary web commentary (circular-sourcing demonstration)
50%
Equal to 50% — the sources do not tip either way
The score is 50%. Supporting and contradicting sources cancel, or there is not enough directional evidence to tip the number.
How 50% was calculated
Start at 50%. Move by half of the net source score after uncertainty. Net source score is 0.00 (from −1 contradict to +1 support). Uncertainty is 100%. So 50% + 50% × 0.00 × 0% remaining certainty = 50%.
Supporting sources
0
Weighted strength 0.00
Contradicting sources
0
Weighted strength 0.00
No stance yet
4
Pulls the score toward 50% · 0.85
Uncertainty
100%
Share of the file that is unlabelled or missing
Working
start at 50% + half of (net source score × remaining certainty)
0.5 + 0.5 × 0.00 × (1 − 1.00) = 0.500
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
Reasoning
Step 1 · Match the question
No stored question matched closely enough. Search is by keywords in the records only. Unlabelled records are not given a fake yes or no.
Step 2 · Find matching sources
4 source(s) matched the wording. 0 further source(s) already linked to the stored question were included even if they did not contain the search words. 0 matching claim(s) contributed inherited stances.
Step 3 · Assign support or contradiction without inventing
0 labelled from stored question links, 0 from claims, 0 labelled automatically (capped, marked, not saved as human review), 4 left with no stance.
Step 4 · Weight each source
Each source contributes strength = (quality / 5) × confidence × how strongly it agrees or disagrees. Support strength 0, contradict strength 0, no-stance strength 0.85. A zero on chain of custody still lowers the mean and stays visible.
Step 5 · Turn that into a percentage
Start at 50%. Move up if support outweighs contradiction, down if the reverse. Unlabelled sources shrink the movement, so a thin file stays near 50%. Working: 0.5 + 0.5 × 0.00 × (1 − 1.00) = 0.500.
Step 6 · What this number is not
This percentage is calculated from the sources listed below — it is a score, not a court finding. Official origin does not add extra weight. Independent origin does not subtract weight. Two papers from the same group are one cluster, not two independent confirmations.
What is still missing
- This question does not match a stored key question closely enough to inherit yes/no labels. Matching records stay unlabelled so the score does not invent a stance.
- 2 source(s) score zero on at least one quality check (shown on each card). Those zeros are kept visible and are not averaged away.
- 2 source(s) are unverified, inactive, or recorded as not retrieved. A missing file is a gap, not a finding against the question.
- 4 relevant source(s) have no stance yet. They increase uncertainty and pull the percentage toward 50%; they are not counted as support or contradiction.
Sources that support this
0None in this calculation.
Sources that contradict this
0None in this calculation.
Sources with no stance yet
4Tertiary blog repeating Commission language via a book via a news story
Composite tertiary web commentary (circular-sourcing demonstration) · 2011-09-11
A 2011 web post restates the Bayoumi story without a new primary document.
unclassified · zeros: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody.
Stratesec / Marvin Bush board role at a firm with WTC security work
Composite tertiary web commentary (circular-sourcing demonstration) · 2005-01-01
A firm with some WTC security work had a Bush family board member years before 9/11.
unclassified · zeros: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Quality zeros remain visible: contemporaneity, corroboration, chain_of_custody.
Hani Hanjour's limited high-performance flying record vs AA77's last turn
9/11 Commission Report · 2004-07-22
Instructors described Hanjour as a weak trainee; official account has him flying AA77's last manoeuvre.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
U.S. State Department, 28 August 2006: public-diplomacy page on 'top' 9/11 conspiracy theories
U.S. Department of State — The Top September 11 Conspiracy Theories (28 August 2006) · 2006-08-28
On 28 August 2006 the U.S. State Department published an official webpage rejecting the main 9/11 conspiracy-theory claims then in circulation.
unclassified · Retrieved as relevant; no inherited polarity. Unclassified mass raises uncertainty rather than inventing support or contradiction.
Topics
Day-of events, engineering questions, process failures, and foreknowledge leads.